[Music]
y
okay perfect right hey everybody uh very
excited to be here I'm going to move
really fast uh I'm going to talk about
Humanity's next Frontier which I believe
to be uh neurotech uh I'm going to cover
these three things in seven minutes uh
so please pay attention to the slides
not to me because your visual cortex can
absorb way more information um that way
so I'm going to leverage a lot of
imagery uh to communicate a lot I'm
going to talk about three things
neurotech to continue Humanities
Evolution neurotech as defensive
acceleration and the rough road map for
neurotech neurotech can be a a solution
to mitigating and curing many diseas
diseases and disorders of various sorts
both neurological things and many other
kind of um nerve damage type issues it
can also lead to better self-regulation
of our minds of our bodies and of our
moods and um of our decisions so we by
having the ability to upgrade our brains
we'll be able to do everything we do uh
hopefully better uh we can also do
things like restoring Mobility restoring
senses like sight and senses like
hearing uh this was the realm of sci-fi
in the 20th century it is happening
today and many people are already the
beneficiaries of these kinds of
Technologies you will see this ramping
up over the next 5 to 10 years now after
repair uh we can start enhancing our
senses um it's just an accidental fact
of evolution U that we have the
particular senses that we have or the
particular capabilities that we have now
that we have uh certain Technologies we
can now start enhancing our capabilities
and being able to see um a wider
Spectrum being able to hear wider
spectrum and so on we can also start
using these systems to enhance our
thought we can level up how we ourselves
um think we can also improve the
connectivity between ourselves so think
of uh the ability to actually have
something like telepathy this is this
was science fiction in the 20th century
it will become science fact in the 21st
century uh the Corpus colossum is the
way that the two loes of your brain
communicate to each other they have I
think hundreds of millions of
connections something on the order of
that or hundreds of millions of neurons
going through maybe that connections
there's many other it higher um but
that's that's how you maintain a sense
of self uh you can imagine that um type
of connectivity being able to extend to
other humans and eventually to the rest
of humanity you could actually get um
telepathy to scale uh you also have
better connectivity to computers this
means uh you can think of augmenting
your um your current neocortex which is
itself a brain on top of other brains
right like our evolution in the brain is
a a series of stacked brains that we
evolved over uh hundreds of millions of
years uh and you can think of now adding
um a next layer which people commonly
call the exocortex of being able to now
have other devices um associated with
your your brain then that could lead to
connectivity with the internet more
broadly being able to do things like
recall the information that's in the
internet being able to learn extremely
quickly being able to actuate um other
uh computers in the internet and so on
but the most important thing and why uh
we're here today in terms of DC day is
connectivity to Ai and I'm going to make
the case that this is absolutely
critical from a um Humanity survival uh
level
scale uh look the the future is
extremely different than the past uh
normally Humanity doesn't like to think
about this um we like our normal
day-to-day experience and we believe
this like wonderful fiction that the
world was just always like this and
always will be uh this is just not the
case all of the evidence that we have
about our past shows that um the entire
universe was extremely different
billions of years ago um the planet was
very different uh billions and millions
of years ago and our own species evolved
um through various different paths and
various different time frames even
ourselves after achieving this level of
biological scale uh changed a dramatic
amount over the last um tens to hundreds
of thousands of years ago or even
millions of years ago so who you are
today who uh humanity is today is
radically different than the humanity of
a thousand years ago 10,000 years ago
100,000 years ago so this is a totally
different um um uh evolving landscape
and so we now need to look ahead into
100 a thousand 10,000 years into the
future and think about where we're
headed so this is the hard part this is
what I consider to be the most important
graph uh for Humanity today it's a plot
of the Computing scale uh over time uh
and the horizontal lines are different
um guesses as to what you would take
computationally to be able to simulate a
whole brain we're entering what I call
the fund Zone where we're finally um for
many models we should be able to um do
actually model a human brain sometime in
the in the next 10 to 20 years with that
level of computational capacity um if
you're much more conservative than that
and think uh there's maybe many other uh
lower level uh Atomic or or other or
Quantum effects um it might take another
20 years but this is roughly roughly the
timeline this also suggests if you can
do this with the to the human brain
which is you know um neurons are quite
big we're talking about Micron scale if
you can do this in neurons you can
certainly do it in artificial neurons
Nets which are orders of magnitude
smaller and faster meaning there's say
an advantage for digital systems um that
just operate dramatically faster and at
smaller scale meaning that if you can do
this to to a human brain in this time
scale you can certainly create an AGI um
much sooner than that order some
magnitude uh sooner in terms of
computing complexity so that means many
years uh before we've seen AI seep into
things we've seen the field accelerate
um and now this is the main uh problem
space uh we've seen capabilities um
human capabilities fall to AI uh there's
like this great graph from our world in
data that shows how um we can build
models and go very quickly from
completely abysm performance to
superhuman capability in a matter of a
year or a few years um and so you know
whenever you hear somebody say oh a AIS
will never do that just pull up this
graph and just start pondering at what
point in time uh will that actually
cease to be the case so just do not
believe disbelieve um the the question
of oh AIS are just never going to be
able to do what humans can do just
remember that you know we things that
dinosaurs couldn't do um so just have
some humility as a species um the top
right uh graph is maybe one of the most
optimistic Landscapes um a lot of the
people deep in the AI field uh think
that that's roughly what's going to
happen in 2027 2028 we'll start getting
a recursive self-improvement and then
we'll go from AGI to ASI that's very um
aggressive that I hold a large
probability distribution there but I
think it may take longer it may take
quite a a lot longer so we have some
window of time uh to upgrade ourselves
uh to make matters more complicated we
now have a whole bunch of Robotics
appearing so these models even though
you know they might not be as smart as
us are going to be able to actuate uh
bodies um like ours and bodies that are
uh just different than ours in a bunch
of regards so we have both humanid
humanoids coming in the pipeline and
then other things like drones and
whatnot so we're really um headed for a
very very difficult Choice um I like
that story of comparing homerus to homos
sapiens the neanthal and nans
homoerectus was a hominid from um
millions of years ago uh one to two
million years ago that expanded Out of
Africa the same way that we did and
basically colonized a lot of the world
uh but went extinct um millions of years
later uh hundreds of thousands of years
ago Homo sapiens neanthal and isans each
had their own um uh expansion Out of
Africa then eventually ended up merging
and upgraded into the species that we
have today so um most of us carry some
amount of neth of and DNA um and we have
this combined species with the bulk of
it being Homo sapiens so this is the the
trade of that we have we can go the way
of homus or we can start merging um and
improving ourselves and so really I
think of it this way we have this
digital Evolution pathway that we're
building and either we're going to make
a another digital species that will
replace us um if we uh insist on
remaining uh entirely biological and and
refuse to enhance ourselves or we can
take the path of um bootstrapping with
neurotech and evolving uh ourselves in
our future uh now I'll touch super
briefly on the road map there's bcis and
you'll see this um you're starting to
see this develop um this will enhance
over the next um 5 to 10 years whole bra
emulation is the next Frontier after
that uh I really think these two things
are extremely critical to survive uh
this is roughly the the road map that I
expect in hurn emulation this might be
too late by many accounts um and so if
you want to dramatically decrease uh AI
risk um I suggest you join me in
accelerating the whole bra emulation
road map and and also the you know BCI
road map we could be doing something
kind of like this potentially even
tighter um and so that's both possible
and and um and I think imperative uh we
need breakthroughs in all kinds of tools
and Technologies um and we really need a
a um an R&D environment similar to the
one that we just saw for AI development
or for many other Technologies uh this
is roughly the capital scale that we're
talking about um which means you can
usually um Orient it in terms of um you
know philanthropy and Angel Investors
initially then VC then tech companies
because the the scaling the tens of
billions of scale is just so expensive
that just VC cannot afford this so
either you start generating a cash flow
to grow or you have to tap the tech
companies themselves um so I think if
you um want to defensively accelerate uh
I strongly encourage you to support uh
neurotech either by working directly in
it by funding it um and by uh spreading
the word uh I think a government isn't
going to do it uh for a lot of reasons
and I do think that we need a range of
field building to happen um huge plug
for for a lot of organizations that have
been doing this um and especially um I
think today we think that prizes and
fast grants can greatly Accel accelerate
the field you'll hear from other folks
in neurotech about um a lot of this
stuff in more detail um but specifically
a way that the crypto Community can
dramatically help here um is by
supporting uh the field as a whole
through prices and grants all right
thank you very much thanks thank you
Juan that was amazing